In a detailed breakdown of the UFC Vegas 90 main event, DFS by the Numbers shares his insights and predictions for the rematch between Brendan Allen and Chris Curtis. With a keen eye on their previous encounter and considering their recent performances, he navigates through the fighters’ strengths, weaknesses, and potential game plans.
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First Fight Recap
DFS recalls the first fight where Brendan Allen, a significant favorite, might have underestimated Chris Curtis. Despite Allen’s attempts at takedowns, Curtis managed to outland Allen in both rounds, eventually securing a knockout in the second round. This outcome sets a compelling backdrop for their rematch, suggesting a potentially close contest.
Fighter Analysis
- Brendan Allen is highlighted as a fighter on an upward trajectory, having secured multiple wins since their last bout. However, the host questions the caliber of Allen’s recent opponents, suggesting that Curtis presents a more formidable challenge.
- Chris Curtis is praised for his striking, durability, and exceptional takedown defense. DFS points out Curtis’s tendency to be a slow starter but also acknowledges his ability to land significant strikes even when outlanded by opponents.
Betting Odds and Predictions
The betting odds are closely examined, with Allen as the favorite at -200 and Curtis at +170. Despite the odds, he leans towards Curtis, citing the first fight and Curtis’s striking prowess as key factors. He expresses skepticism about Allen’s ability to implement a game plan that avoids Curtis’s strengths, particularly given Curtis’s excellent takedown defense.
DFS speculates that the fight will primarily unfold on the feet, where Curtis’s power and durability could prove decisive. He suggests that if Allen fails to adapt his strategy or secure takedowns, Curtis could replicate his previous victory.
Final Pick
- Chris Curtis is the pick, with a prediction of a third-round knockout. This choice is based on Curtis’s striking ability, resilience, and the expectation that Allen might struggle to control the fight’s pace and location.
In conclusion, he anticipates an exciting rematch at UFC Vegas 90, with Chris Curtis poised to upset Brendan Allen once again. This prediction underscores the unpredictability of MMA and the importance of fighters adapting their strategies based on past encounters.
DFS Prediction:
- Chris Curtis to win by third-round knockout
