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AJ dives deep into each fight on the UFC 301 card. He gives his expert insight and betting odds as he breaks down each fight on the card:
Alessandro Costa vs. Kevin Borjas
AJ favors Alessandro Costa, noting his superior physical strength and grappling skills, which should lead to a decision win. He finds the odds, Costa -135 and Borjas +116, quite close but leans towards Costa due to his recent performances against top contenders.
Ismael Bonfim vs. Vinc Pichel
Ismael Bonfim is expected to dominate the older Vinc Pichel with his explosive power and solid takedown defense. AJ predicts a knockout victory, highlighting Bonfim’s overwhelming odds at -500, making him a strong favorite.
Dione Barbosa vs. Ernesta Kareckaite
In this women’s matchup, AJ predicts Dione Barbosa will utilize her black belt in jiu-jitsu to take the fight to the ground and secure a submission victory. He notes Barbosa’s advantage in grappling against Kareckaite’s striking-oriented style.
Mauricio Ruffy vs. Jamie Mullarkey
AJ is excited about Mauricio Ruffy’s prospects, predicting a knockout victory due to his impressive striking abilities. He mentions Ruffy’s odds at -170, indicating confidence in his ability to win early.
Joaquim Silva vs. Drakkar Klose
In this lightweight bout, AJ picks Drakkar Klose to win, likely by decision. He appreciates Klose’s ability to turn fights dirty and utilize pressure, making him a tough opponent for Silva.
Jean Silva vs. William Gomis
William Gomis is AJ’s pick, favored due to his height, reach, and technical striking. He predicts a decision victory, with Gomis’s ability to control the pace and distance of the fight being key factors.
Elves Brener vs. Myktybek Orolbai
AJ sees Myktybek Orolbai as a rising star, capable of dominating Elves Brener with superior wrestling and striking. He leans towards a decision win but doesn’t rule out a possible finish.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Iasmin Lucindo
Iasmin Lucindo is predicted to win, with AJ noting her quick hands and ground skills as decisive factors against the veteran Kowalkiewicz. He suggests Lucindo could secure a finish, either by knockout or submission.
Joanderson Brito vs. Jack Shore
In this featherweight clash, AJ surprisingly picks Jack Shore to upset Joanderson Brito by decision. He believes Shore’s jab and grappling defense will be key in overcoming Brito’s power.
Paul Craig vs. Caio Borralho
Caio Borralho is AJ’s choice, predicting a decision win. He points out Borralho’s speed and agility in grappling transitions as major advantages over Craig’s more one-dimensional approach.
Michel Pereira vs. Ihor Potieria
Michel Pereira is heavily favored to win by knockout. AJ praises Pereira’s dynamic fighting style and explosive power, which he believes will be too much for Potieria to handle.
Anthony Smith vs. Vitor Petrino
AJ predicts a knockout win for Vitor Petrino, citing Smith’s declining performances and Petrino’s raw power and grappling strength as decisive factors.
Jonathan Martinez vs. José Aldo
Jonathan Martinez is AJ’s pick to edge out the legendary José Aldo by decision. He notes Martinez’s momentum and prime condition as key advantages over Aldo’s experience.
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg
For the main event, AJ goes with Alexandre Pantoja to defend his title against Steve Erceg. He expects Pantoja to leverage his experience and perhaps win by decision in what promises to be a closely contested bout.
AJ’s Picks for UFC 301:
- Alessandro Costa
- Ismael Bonfim
- Dione Barbosa
- Mauricio Ruffy
- Drakkar Klose
- William Gomis
- Myktybek Orolbai
- Iasmin Lucindo
- Jack Shore
- Caio Borralho
- Michel Pereira
- Vitor Petrino
- Jonathan Martinez
- Alexandre Pantoja
AJ’s analysis provides a thorough guide for UFC fans and bettors, making the upcoming UFC 301 an event to watch closely, with insights into each fighter’s strengths and weaknesses along with the potential betting edges.