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UFC 302 is set to deliver another exciting night of fights, headlined by the much-anticipated clash between Islam Makhachev and Dustin Poirier. DFS By The Numbers has meticulously broken down each fight on the card, providing his expert analysis and predictions. Let’s dive into his insights on every matchup!
Early Prelims
Andre Lima vs. Mitch Raposo (2:53)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Andre Lima: A strong kickboxer with good takedown defense.
- Mitch Raposo: Stepping in on short notice; known for fast hands and sneaky power.
- Prediction: Mitch Raposo to win a very close decision, utilizing his wrestling to gain an edge.
Betting Odds: Andre Lima -235, Mitch Raposo +205
Prelims
Ailin Perez vs. Joselyn Edwards (5:16)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Ailin Perez: Strong wrestler, excellent at maintaining control on the ground.
- Joselyn Edwards: Taller, rangier striker, but struggles against strong grapplers.
- Prediction: Ailin Perez to win by decision, leveraging her superior wrestling skills.
Betting Odds: Ailin Perez -185, Joselyn Edwards +160
Bassil Hafez vs. Mickey Gall (8:20)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Bassil Hafez: Decent wrestler with good heart and toughness.
- Mickey Gall: Inconsistent performances and poor takedown defense.
- Prediction: Bassil Hafez to win by decision, controlling the fight with his wrestling.
Betting Odds: Bassil Hafez -300, Mickey Gall +240
Alex Morono vs. Niko Price (10:36)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Alex Morono: Consistent and well-rounded fighter.
- Niko Price: Wild and unpredictable, but his chin is questionable after recent losses.
- Prediction: Alex Morono to win by first-round knockout, capitalizing on Price’s declining durability.
Betting Odds: Alex Morono -220, Niko Price +185
Main Card
Jake Matthews vs. Phil Rowe (14:11)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Jake Matthews: Inconsistent, but a minute-winner with better cardio.
- Phil Rowe: A come-from-behind fighter with a 100% finish rate.
- Prediction: Jake Matthews to win by decision, using superior volume and takedowns.
Betting Odds: Jake Matthews -160, Phil Rowe +140
Grant Dawson vs. Joe Solecki (16:56)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Grant Dawson: Better wrestler with improving striking.
- Joe Solecki: Skilled grappler but struggles against superior wrestlers.
- Prediction: Grant Dawson to win by third-round submission, wearing down Solecki.
Betting Odds: Grant Dawson -415, Joe Solecki +345
Roman Kopylov vs. Cesar Almeida (20:04)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Roman Kopylov: Experienced, gets better as the fight progresses.
- Cesar Almeida: Powerful striker, but less proven in MMA.
- Prediction: Roman Kopylov to win by second-round knockout, utilizing body shots and durability.
Betting Odds: Roman Kopylov -110, Cesar Almeida -110
Randy Brown vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (23:03)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Randy Brown: Taller, rangier, with good cardio and takedown defense.
- Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Powerful but aging.
- Prediction: Randy Brown to win by decision, using his length and volume.
Betting Odds: Randy Brown -160, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos +140
Jailton Almeida vs. Alexandr Romanov (25:16)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Jailton Almeida: Dominant grappler with consistent performances.
- Alexandr Romanov: Inconsistent and struggles with cardio.
- Prediction: Jailton Almeida to win by first-round knockout, overwhelming Romanov on the ground.
Betting Odds: Jailton Almeida -255, Alexandr Romanov +215
Kevin Holland vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (29:00)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Kevin Holland: Inconsistent but skilled and durable.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk: Powerful but has cardio and durability issues.
- Prediction: Kevin Holland to win by second-round club and sub, breaking down Oleksiejczuk.
Betting Odds: Kevin Holland -275, Michal Oleksiejczuk +235
Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa (32:09)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Sean Strickland: Consistent, with great cardio and striking volume.
- Paulo Costa: Powerful but fades in later rounds.
- Prediction: Sean Strickland to win by decision, outlasting Costa in the later rounds.
Betting Odds: Sean Strickland -240, Paulo Costa +205
Main Event
Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier (34:25)
DFS By The Numbers’ Thoughts:
- Islam Makhachev: Superior grappler with good striking defense.
- Dustin Poirier: Strong striker but struggles against elite grapplers.
- Prediction: Islam Makhachev to win by second-round submission, dominating with his grappling.
Betting Odds: Islam Makhachev -700, Dustin Poirier +500
Picks Summary
- Mitch Raposo
- Ailin Perez
- Bassil Hafez
- Alex Morono
- Jake Matthews
- Grant Dawson
- Roman Kopylov
- Randy Brown
- Jailton Almeida
- Kevin Holland
- Sean Strickland
- Islam Makhachev
Stay tuned for UFC 302 and enjoy the fights! For more detailed insights and betting tips, check out the full video breakdown by DFS By The Numbers.
