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UFC 302 is back with a stacked card featuring Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier in the main event. Angelo from We Want Picks breaks down each fight, providing his expert analysis and predictions. Here’s a concise summary of Angelo’s thoughts on each matchup, including betting odds where mentioned.
Early Prelims
Mitch Raposo vs. Andre Lima (00:05:31)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Mitch Raposo: A late replacement with good striking, part of the New England cartel.
- Andre Lima: Solid striker with good takedown defense and submission skills.
- Prediction: Andre Lima to win due to the short notice for Raposo, despite Raposo’s skills.
Betting Odds: Andre Lima -200, Mitch Raposo +170
Prelims
Joselyn Edwards vs. Ailin Perez (00:11:22)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Joselyn Edwards: Good kickboxer with improved takedown defense.
- Ailin Perez: Aggressive wrestler with relentless pressure.
- Prediction: Ailin Perez to win by decision, utilizing her wrestling to control the fight.
Betting Odds: Ailin Perez -185, Joselyn Edwards +160
Mickey Gall vs. Bassil Hafez (00:17:12)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Mickey Gall: Returning after two years, a solid grappler but inconsistent.
- Bassil Hafez: Tough grappler with good takedown skills and cardio.
- Prediction: Bassil Hafez to win by decision, controlling the fight with his grappling.
Betting Odds: Bassil Hafez -300, Mickey Gall +240
Niko Price vs. Alex Morono (00:22:49)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Niko Price: Always entertaining but inconsistent and recently knocked out.
- Alex Morono: Well-rounded fighter with solid grappling and striking.
- Prediction: Alex Morono to win by decision, leveraging his experience and grappling skills.
Betting Odds: Alex Morono -220, Niko Price +185
Main Card
Phil Rowe vs. Jake Matthews (00:26:50)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Phil Rowe: Long striker with good BJJ but poor wrestling.
- Jake Matthews: Primarily a wrestler with power in his hands.
- Prediction: Jake Matthews to win by decision, using his wrestling to control the fight.
Betting Odds: Jake Matthews -160, Phil Rowe +140
Grant Dawson vs. Joe Solecki (00:31:35)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Grant Dawson: Aggressive wrestler with relentless pressure.
- Joe Solecki: Skilled grappler with good hands.
- Prediction: Grant Dawson to win by decision, out-wrestling Solecki.
Betting Odds: Grant Dawson -415, Joe Solecki +345
Roman Kopylov vs. Cesar Almeida (00:36:22)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Roman Kopylov: Experienced kickboxer with takedown ability.
- Cesar Almeida: High-level kickboxer but less experienced in MMA.
- Prediction: Roman Kopylov to win by second-round knockout, using his mixed martial arts experience.
Betting Odds: Roman Kopylov -110, Cesar Almeida -110
Randy Brown vs. Elizeu Zaleski (00:40:57)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Randy Brown: Tall, rangy striker with good cardio and takedown defense.
- Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Powerful and athletic striker.
- Prediction: Randy Brown to win by decision, using his range and striking.
Betting Odds: Randy Brown -160, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos +140
Jailton Almeida vs. Alexandr Romanov (00:44:44)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Jailton Almeida: Dominant grappler with relentless pressure.
- Alexandr Romanov: Inconsistent and struggles with cardio.
- Prediction: Jailton Almeida to win by first-round knockout, overwhelming Romanov on the ground.
Betting Odds: Jailton Almeida -255, Alexandr Romanov +215
Kevin Holland vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (00:49:45)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Kevin Holland: Laser-accurate striker with good Jiu-Jitsu.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk: Fast and powerful striker but fades late.
- Prediction: Kevin Holland to win by second-round submission, breaking down Oleksiejczuk.
Betting Odds: Kevin Holland -275, Michal Oleksiejczuk +235
Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa (00:52:38)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Sean Strickland: Durable, high-volume striker with good cardio.
- Paulo Costa: Powerful and explosive but fades late.
- Prediction: Sean Strickland to win by decision, outlasting Costa in the later rounds.
Betting Odds: Sean Strickland -240, Paulo Costa +205
Main Event
Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier (00:59:00)
Angelo’s Thoughts:
- Islam Makhachev: Superior grappler with good striking defense.
- Dustin Poirier: Strong striker but struggles against elite grapplers.
- Prediction: Islam Makhachev to win by second-round submission, dominating with his grappling.
Betting Odds: Islam Makhachev -700, Dustin Poirier +500
Picks Summary
- Andre Lima
- Ailin Perez
- Bassil Hafez
- Alex Morono
- Jake Matthews
- Grant Dawson
- Roman Kopylov
- Randy Brown
- Jailton Almeida
- Kevin Holland
- Sean Strickland
- Islam Makhachev
Stay tuned for UFC 302 and enjoy the fights! For more detailed insights and betting tips, check out the full video breakdown by Angelo from We Want Picks.
