Make sure to watch the full video or read the short article below.
UFC 303 Betting Breakdown: Pereira vs Prochazka 2
Welcome to this week’s best MMA bets for UFC 303, featuring the highly anticipated rematch between Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka. In this blog, AJ from DFS by the Numbers shares his lock of the week, most confident picks, favorite underdogs, and degen props. Let’s dive into his insights and predictions for each fight on the card.
Lock of the Week
Joe Pyfer vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (1:14)
Joe Pyfer (-270) is AJ’s lock of the week. He sees Pyfer’s precision, explosiveness, and overall game as superior to Barriault’s. While Barriault is tough, AJ believes Pyfer’s boxing and grappling will shine through. Prediction: Joe Pyfer by Knockout.
Most Confident Picks
Payton Talbot vs. Yanis Ghemmouri (3:06)
Payton Talbot (-1880) is an absolute lock. AJ highlights Talbot’s striking prowess and predicts a second-round knockout. Prediction: Payton Talbot by Knockout (Round 2).
Rei Tsuruya vs. Carlos Hernandez (5:02)
Rei Tsuruya (-500) is another confident pick. AJ expects Tsuruya to secure a submission due to Hernandez’s past struggles on the ground. Prediction: Rei Tsuruya by Submission (Round 1).
Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka (6:35)
Alex Pereira (-130) is favored to win again. AJ predicts Pereira will utilize his striking to secure a knockout. Prediction: Alex Pereira by Knockout.
Favorite Underdogs
Vinicius Oliveira vs. Ricky Simon (10:31)
Vinicius Oliveira (+205) is seen as a live dog due to his power and size advantage. AJ recognizes Simon’s wrestling skills but sees potential for an Oliveira upset. Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira by Knockout.
Andrei Arlovski vs. Martin Buday (11:32)
Andrei Arlovski (+200) is picked for his experience and technical skills. AJ thinks Arlovski can outpoint Buday and secure a decision victory. Prediction: Andrei Arlovski by Decision.
Michelle Waterson vs. Gillian Robertson (12:36)
Michelle Waterson (+200) is favored due to her takedown defense and striking. AJ believes Waterson can outlast Robertson and win by decision. Prediction: Michelle Waterson by Decision.
Anthony Smith vs. Roman Dolidze (13:54)
Anthony Smith (+118) is chosen for his overall game and durability. AJ sees Smith winning a decision against Dolidze. Prediction: Anthony Smith by Decision.
Degen Props
Ian Garry vs. Michael Page (14:21)
AJ likes Ian Garry by decision (+185). Garry’s precision and decision-making make him a solid pick. Prediction: Ian Garry by Decision.
Parlays
AJ suggests several parlay options:
- Joe Pyfer and Alex Pereira at +140
- Rei Tsuruya, Payton Talbot, and Joe Pyfer at near even money
- Joe Pyfer, Rei Tsuruya, Payton Talbot, and Alex Pereira at +210
- Bueno Silva and Joe Pyfer at +170
- Bueno Silva, Joe Pyfer, and Alex Pereira at +375
Hat Parlay
AJ’s hat parlay picks:
- Ian Garry, Brian Ortega, and Joe Pyfer at +419
AJ’s Picks Recap:
- Joe Pyfer by Knockout
- Payton Talbot by Knockout (Round 2)
- Rei Tsuruya by Submission (Round 1)
- Alex Pereira by Knockout
- Vinicius Oliveira by Knockout
- Andrei Arlovski by Decision
- Michelle Waterson by Decision
- Anthony Smith by Decision
- Ian Garry by Decision
Enjoy the fights and good luck with your bets! For more insights and early bets, check out DFS by the Numbers.
