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Welcome to DFS by the Numbers’ full card breakdown and prediction blog for UFC 303! This event features the highly anticipated rematch between Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka, along with several exciting fights. DFS shares his insights, predictions, and betting odds for each fight on the card. Let’s dive in!
Early Prelims
Ricky Simon vs. Vinicius Oliveira (2:27)
Ricky Simon (-210) is favored due to his superior wrestling and grappling skills. DFS predicts Simon will dominate with takedowns and potentially finish with a head-and-arm choke. Prediction: Ricky Simon by Submission (Round 2).
Rei Tsuruya vs. Carlos Hernandez (5:39)
Rei Tsuruya (-500) is a heavy favorite with his exceptional wrestling and grappling. DFS believes Tsuruya will secure an early submission. Prediction: Rei Tsuruya by Submission (Round 1).
Prelims
Martin Buday vs. Andrei Arlovski (8:57)
Martin Buday (-255) has the grappling edge. DFS thinks Buday will capitalize on Arlovski’s grappling weaknesses and secure a submission. Prediction: Martin Buday by Submission (Round 2).
Gillian Robertson vs. Michelle Waterson-Gomez (12:21)
Gillian Robertson (-170) is favored for her grappling prowess. DFS expects Robertson to secure a takedown and find a submission. Prediction: Gillian Robertson by Submission (Round 2).
Payton Talbot vs. Yanis Ghemmouri (14:53)
Payton Talbot (-2000) is expected to dominate. DFS predicts an aggressive performance and a knockout victory. Prediction: Payton Talbot by Knockout (Round 2).
Charles Jourdain vs. Jean Silva (16:59)
Charles Jourdain (-120) should win with his striking and durability. DFS sees Jourdain taking a decision or a late finish. Prediction: Charles Jourdain by Decision.
Main Card
Andre Fili vs. Cub Swanson (20:21)
Despite the odds favoring Fili (-205), DFS picks the veteran Cub Swanson (+175) to secure a knockout. Prediction: Cub Swanson by Knockout (Round 1).
Joe Pyfer vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (23:07)
Joe Pyfer (-270) has multiple paths to victory. DFS predicts Pyfer will secure a submission. Prediction: Joe Pyfer by Submission (Round 2).
Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page (25:14)
Ian Garry (-135) might use his grappling to secure a submission. DFS expects Garry to implement a grappling-heavy game plan. Prediction: Ian Garry by Submission (Round 2).
Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson (28:50)
DFS believes Mayra Bueno Silva (+100) will capitalize on Chiasson’s grappling deficiencies and secure a submission. Prediction: Mayra Bueno Silva by Submission (Round 3).
Roman Dolidze vs. Anthony Smith (31:39)
Roman Dolidze (-150) is favored due to his power and durability. DFS predicts Dolidze will win by decision. Prediction: Roman Dolidze by Decision.
Diego Lopes vs. Brian Ortega (35:15)
Diego Lopes (-150) is picked for his striking and overall skill set. DFS predicts Lopes will be the first to officially finish Ortega. Prediction: Diego Lopes by Knockout.
Main Event
Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka (39:23)
Alex Pereira (-150) is favored for his striking power. DFS expects Pereira to repeat his performance and secure a knockout in the second round. Prediction: Alex Pereira by Knockout (Round 2).
DFS’s Picks Recap:
- Ricky Simon by Submission (Round 2)
- Rei Tsuruya by Submission (Round 1)
- Martin Buday by Submission (Round 2)
- Gillian Robertson by Submission (Round 2)
- Payton Talbot by Knockout (Round 2)
- Charles Jourdain by Decision
- Cub Swanson by Knockout (Round 1)
- Joe Pyfer by Submission (Round 2)
- Ian Garry by Submission (Round 2)
- Mayra Bueno Silva by Submission (Round 3)
- Roman Dolidze by Decision
- Diego Lopes by Knockout
- Alex Pereira by Knockout (Round 2)
Enjoy the fights and good luck with your bets! For more insights and early bets, check out DFS by the Numbers.