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UFC 304 Full Card Breakdown & Predictions | Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad 2
Welcome to We Want Picks! I’m Angelo, and this is your full card breakdown and prediction for UFC 304. This event is stacked with 14 fights, including two title fights and several intriguing matchups. Let’s dive into each fight, including my thoughts and betting odds where mentioned.
Early Prelims
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Marcin Prachnio (00:03:54)
- Prediction: Modestas Bukauskas by decision
- Odds: Bukauskas (-170) vs. Prachnio (+145)
Angelo highlights that Bukauskas is a versatile striker with a solid takedown defense, while Prachnio, with his combat karate background, is a technical brawler. Despite Prachnio’s power, his chin issues and Bukauskas’s well-rounded skill set make Bukauskas the pick.
Shauna Bannon vs. Alice Ardelean (00:07:19)
- Prediction: Alice Ardelean by decision
Angelo notes Bannon’s pressure style and Ardelean’s busy striking. Despite Ardelean’s social media fame, her forward pressure and toughness make her the pick in this potentially close fight.
Sam Patterson vs. Kiefer Crosbie (00:11:38)
- Prediction: Sam Patterson by decision
- Odds: Patterson (-350) vs. Crosbie (+285)
Angelo mentions Patterson’s height and reach advantage but warns against betting on him due to his previous knockout loss. Patterson’s improved wrestling and overall skills give him the edge, but caution is advised.
Prelims
Oban Elliott vs. Preston Parsons (00:14:29)
- Prediction: Preston Parsons by decision
- Odds: Parsons (-145) vs. Elliott (+125)
Parsons’ grappling and improved striking make him the favorite. Angelo expects Parsons to control the fight with takedowns and secure a decision victory.
Mick Parkin vs. Lukasz Brzeski (00:17:40)
- Prediction: Mick Parkin by decision
- Odds: Parkin (-200) vs. Brzeski (+170)
Angelo sees Parkin’s grappling and control game giving him the edge over Brzeski. Despite Parkin’s boring style, his skills should secure him a win.
Caolan Loughran vs. Jake Hadley (00:20:26)
- Prediction: Caolan Loughran by decision
- Odds: Loughran (-205) vs. Hadley (+175)
Loughran’s size and strength advantage, coupled with Hadley’s short notice and weight class change, make Loughran the pick. Angelo expects Loughran to use his wrestling and control to win.
Molly McCann vs. Bruna Brasil (00:23:11)
- Prediction: Molly McCann by decision
- Odds: McCann (-350) vs. Brasil (+285)
Angelo believes McCann’s aggressive style and home crowd advantage will help her outwork Brasil, who has low striking volume and poor defense.
Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda (00:25:54)
- Prediction: Nathaniel Wood by decision
- Odds: Wood (-410) vs. Pineda (+310)
Wood’s striking and grappling make him the favorite. Angelo expects Wood to weather Pineda’s early storm and win by decision.
Featured Prelim
Muhammad Mokaev vs. Manel Kape (00:27:49)
- Prediction: Muhammad Mokaev by decision
- Odds: Mokaev (-140) vs. Kape (+120)
Angelo sees Mokaev’s relentless wrestling giving him the edge over Kape. Despite Kape’s striking advantage, Mokaev’s control and takedowns should secure him the win.
Main Card
Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadze (00:33:33)
- Prediction: Arnold Allen by decision
- Odds: Allen (-240) vs. Chikadze (+205)
Allen’s striking, takedowns, and overall skill set make him the favorite. Angelo expects Allen to control the striking rhythm and win a decision.
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Gregory Rodrigues (00:36:16)
- Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan by decision
- Odds: Duncan (-140) vs. Rodrigues (+120)
Angelo notes Duncan’s technical striking and hometown advantage. Despite Rodrigues’s durability, Duncan’s striking should give him the edge.
Bobby Green vs. Paddy Pimblett (00:39:12)
- Prediction: Bobby Green by decision
- Odds: Green (-110) vs. Pimblett (-110)
Angelo believes Green’s striking and defensive wrestling will be too much for Pimblett. Despite Pimblett’s grappling, Green should win a decision.
Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes (00:43:05)
- Prediction: Tom Aspinall by knockout
- Odds: Aspinall (-350) vs. Blaydes (+285)
Aspinall’s speed and striking make him the favorite. Angelo expects Aspinall to capitalize on Blaydes’s reluctance to wrestle and secure a knockout.
Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad (00:46:03)
- Prediction: Leon Edwards by decision
- Odds: Edwards (-235) vs. Muhammad (+200)
Angelo sees Edwards’s striking and improved takedown defense giving him the edge. Despite Muhammad’s wrestling, Edwards should win a decision.
Angelo’s Picks Summary
- Modestas Bukauskas
- Alice Ardelean
- Sam Patterson
- Preston Parsons
- Mick Parkin
- Caolan Loughran
- Molly McCann
- Nathaniel Wood
- Muhammad Mokaev
- Arnold Allen
- Christian Leroy Duncan
- Bobby Green
- Tom Aspinall
- Leon Edwards
Stay tuned for more content from We Want Picks, and best of luck with your bets for UFC 304!