UFC 304 Full Card Breakdown From DFS By The Numbers

Make sure to watch the full video or read the short article below.

twitter.com/dfs_numbers

instagram.com/dfsbythenumbers/?hl=en

dfsbythenumbers.com

UFC 304 Full Card Breakdown & Predictions | Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad 2

Welcome to DFS by the Numbers! This is your full card breakdown and prediction for UFC 304, featuring the highly anticipated rematch between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad. The event boasts a stacked 14-fight card, including two title fights and several intriguing matchups. Let’s dive into each fight, including the hosts’ thoughts and betting odds where mentioned.

Early Prelims

Modestas Bukauskas vs. Marcin Prachnio (2:06)

• Prediction: Modestas Bukauskas by third-round knockout
• Odds: Bukauskas (-170) vs. Prachnio (+145)
  DFS notes that both fighters have questionable durability, but Bukauskas is expected to pull ahead as Prachnio tends to gas out after the first round. Bukauskas’s ability to get stronger as the fight progresses should secure him a late knockout victory.

Shauna Bannon vs. Alice Ardelean (5:42)

• Prediction: Shauna Bannon by decision
• Odds: Bannon (-205) vs. Ardelean (+175)
  DFS isn’t high on either fighter but gives the edge to Bannon, who has shown more potential. Despite Ardelean’s popularity on social media, her fight record against low-level competition doesn’t inspire confidence.

Sam Patterson vs. Kiefer Crosbie (8:44)

• Prediction: Sam Patterson by first-round submission
• Odds: Patterson (-350) vs. Crosbie (+285)
  DFS expects Patterson to dominate with his superior ground game. Crosby’s lack of cardio and poor performance in his debut make him an easy target for Patterson’s grappling skills.

Prelims

Preston Parsons vs. Oban Elliott (11:07)

• Prediction: Preston Parsons by third-round submission
• Odds: Parsons (-145) vs. Elliott (+125)
  DFS picks Parsons for his relentless pressure and superior grappling. Elliott’s questionable durability and previous finishes against him make Parsons a solid choice.

Mick Parkin vs. Lukasz Brzeski (14:36)

• Prediction: Mick Parkin by decision
• Odds: Parkin (-200) vs. Brzeski (+170)
  DFS sees Parkin winning through effective grappling and control, although he cautions that Parkin’s tendency to stay at range might make the fight closer than necessary.

Caolan Loughran vs. Jake Hadley (17:04)

• Prediction: Caolan Loughran by decision
• Odds: Loughran (-205) vs. Hadley (+175)
  Loughran’s physical strength and superior grappling are expected to give him the edge over Hadley, who stepped in on short notice and has struggled with takedown defense.

Molly McCann vs. Bruna Brasil (19:23)

• Prediction: Molly McCann by knockout
• Odds: McCann (-350) vs. Brasil (+285)
  DFS believes McCann is being set up for a victory in her home country. Her aggression and striking power, combined with Brasil’s shaky durability, make McCann the favorite.

Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda (21:13)

• Prediction: Nathaniel Wood by second-round knockout
• Odds: Wood (-410) vs. Pineda (+310)
  Wood’s superior striking and Pineda’s questionable cardio and durability lead DFS to predict a late finish for Wood.

Featured Prelim

Muhammad Mokaev vs. Manel Kape (24:06)

• Prediction: Manel Kape by decision
• Odds: Mokaev (-140) vs. Kape (+120)
  DFS anticipates a close fight but favors Kape for his striking and finishing ability. He expects Kape to do more damage and win the decision, despite Mokaev’s relentless wrestling.

Main Card

Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadze (26:45)

• Prediction: Arnold Allen by decision
• Odds: Allen (-240) vs. Chikadze (+205)
  Allen’s youth and well-rounded skills make him the favorite against Chikadze, who has shown signs of wear and tear from previous fights.

Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Gregory Rodrigues (29:10)

• Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan by second-round knockout
• Odds: Duncan (-140) vs. Rodrigues (+120)
  DFS picks Duncan for his durability and striking versatility. Rodrigues’s tendency to avoid using his grappling could cost him against the more durable Duncan.

King Green vs. Paddy Pimblett (31:16)

• Prediction: King Green by decision
• Odds: Green (-110) vs. Pimblett (-110)
  Despite the close odds, DFS sees Green’s superior striking and defensive wrestling as key factors. He expects Green to outpoint Pimblett in a striking battle.

Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes (34:10)

• Prediction: Tom Aspinall by first-round knockout
• Odds: Aspinall (-350) vs. Blaydes (+285)
  Aspinall’s speed and power should overwhelm Blaydes, who has shown reluctance to use his wrestling effectively. DFS predicts a quick knockout for Aspinall.

Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad 2 (36:58)

• Prediction: Leon Edwards by decision
• Odds: Edwards (-235) vs. Muhammad (+200)
  Edwards’s striking and improved takedown defense make him the favorite. DFS expects a competitive fight but sees Edwards edging out a decision victory.

DFS’s Picks Summary

1. Modestas Bukauskas
2. Shauna Bannon
3. Sam Patterson
4. Preston Parsons
5. Mick Parkin
6. Caolan Loughran
7. Molly McCann
8. Nathaniel Wood
9. Manel Kape
10. Arnold Allen
11. Christian Leroy Duncan
12. King Green
13. Tom Aspinall
14. Leon Edwards

Stay tuned for more content from DFS by the Numbers and best of luck with your bets for UFC 304!