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UFC 304 Quick Picks & Predictions by Jacob | Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Welcome back to We Want Picks! I’m Jacob, aka the Freckled Salamander, here to give you my rapid-fire picks for UFC 304. This card is packed with exciting matchups, and I’ll give you my thoughts on each fight along with some betting insights. Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and check out our premium membership at wewantpicks.com for more in-depth analysis and bets.
Early Prelims
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Marcin Prachnio (00:01:08)
- Prediction: Marcin Prachnio by decision
- Odds: Prachnio (+140) vs. Bukauskas (-165)
Jacob picks the underdog Prachnio due to Bukauskas’s low volume. Prachnio’s karate style and volume should pose problems for Bukauskas, who struggles against strikers with high output.
Shauna Bannon vs. Alice Ardelean (00:01:58)
- Prediction: Alice Ardelean by decision
Jacob favors Ardelean for her pressure and power, despite the short notice. He believes Bannon’s karate style will falter against Ardelean’s aggression and ability to control the fight.
Sam Patterson vs. Kiefer Crosbie (00:03:27)
- Prediction: Kiefer Crosbie by knockout
- Odds: Patterson (-350) vs. Crosbie (+285)
Jacob sees Patterson as vulnerable due to his slow striking and poor defense. He predicts Crosbie will blitz Patterson and find the knockout, although acknowledging Patterson’s grappling advantage.
Prelims
Oban Elliott vs. Preston Parsons (00:04:58)
- Prediction: Preston Parsons by decision
- Odds: Parsons (-145) vs. Elliott (+125)
Jacob favors Parsons for his superior grappling and wrestling. He warns that Elliott could make it a brawl, but Parsons’s control should secure the win.
Mick Parkin vs. Lukasz Brzeski (00:06:35)
- Prediction: Mick Parkin by decision
- Odds: Parkin (-200) vs. Brzeski (+170)
Jacob sees Parkin as the more skilled fighter, despite not being a standout. He believes Parkin will control the fight and win by decision.
Caolan Loughran vs. Jake Hadley (00:07:40)
- Prediction: Caolan Loughran by decision
- Odds: Loughran (-205) vs. Hadley (+175)
Jacob acknowledges Hadley’s potential but believes Loughran’s size and physicality will be too much. Loughran’s wrestling and control should earn him the decision win.
Molly McCann vs. Bruna Brasil (00:09:20)
- Prediction: Bruna Brasil by decision
- Odds: McCann (-350) vs. Brasil (+285)
Jacob picks Brasil due to her striking and potential to keep McCann at bay with footwork and range. He believes Brasil can outpoint McCann despite the odds.
Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda (00:10:40)
- Prediction: Nathaniel Wood by decision
- Odds: Wood (-400) vs. Pineda (+310)
Jacob sees Wood as the better fighter overall and expects him to outstrike Pineda. He warns of Pineda’s sneaky submissions but trusts Wood’s skills to secure the win.
Featured Prelim
Muhammad Mokaev vs. Manel Kape (00:11:48)
- Prediction: Muhammad Mokaev by decision
- Odds: Mokaev (-140) vs. Kape (+120)
Jacob favors Mokaev’s wrestling and timing to neutralize Kape’s striking. He expects Mokaev to control the fight and win by decision.
Main Card
Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadze (00:13:20)
- Prediction: Arnold Allen by decision
- Odds: Allen (-240) vs. Chikadze (+205)
Jacob sees Allen as the more complete fighter with wrestling as a backup plan. He expects Allen to control the fight and win by decision, though he anticipates a competitive bout.
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Gregory Rodrigues (00:14:25)
- Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout
- Odds: Duncan (-140) vs. Rodrigues (+120)
Jacob picks Duncan due to his striking and Rodrigues’s tendency to get hit. He believes Duncan will find a knockout opportunity in this fight.
Bobby Green vs. Paddy Pimblett (00:16:05)
- Prediction: Paddy Pimblett by submission
- Odds: Green (-110) vs. Pimblett (-110)
Jacob expects Pimblett to use his grappling to secure a submission. He notes that if the fight goes late, Green’s striking could turn the tide, but picks Pimblett for an early finish.
Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes (00:18:08)
- Prediction: Tom Aspinall by decision
- Odds: Aspinall (-350) vs. Blaydes (+285)
Jacob believes Aspinall’s technical striking and grappling will be too much for Blaydes. He advises Aspinall to be patient and expects him to win by decision.
Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad (00:20:30)
- Prediction: Belal Muhammad by decision
- Odds: Edwards (-235) vs. Muhammad (+200)
Jacob sees Muhammad’s relentless wrestling as the key to victory. Despite Edwards’s skills, Jacob believes Muhammad’s pressure will wear him down and earn him the decision win.
Jacob’s Picks Summary
- Marcin Prachnio
- Alice Ardelean
- Kiefer Crosbie
- Preston Parsons
- Mick Parkin
- Caolan Loughran
- Bruna Brasil
- Nathaniel Wood
- Muhammad Mokaev
- Arnold Allen
- Christian Leroy Duncan
- Paddy Pimblett
- Tom Aspinall
- Belal Muhammad
Stay tuned for more content from We Want Picks, and best of luck with your bets for UFC 304!