UFC 304 Full Card Breakdown from the MMA Guru

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UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 – Full Card Betting Breakdown and Predictions

UFC 304 is just around the corner, headlined by the highly anticipated rematch between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad. In this blog, we’ll provide a breakdown of each fight on the card, complete with betting odds and predictions. Let’s dive into the early prelims and work our way to the main event.

Early Prelims

Modestas Bukauskas vs. Marcin Prachnio (00:13)

• Prediction: Marcin Prachnio (Underdog)
• Odds: Bukauskas (-140) vs. Prachnio (+120)
  Guru picks Prachnio for his superior technical striking. Despite both fighters having their weaknesses, Guru believes Prachnio’s leg kicks and technical edge will secure him a victory over Bukauskas, who lacks finishing potential.

Shaunna Bannon vs. Alice Ardelean (02:58)

• Prediction: Shaunna Bannon
• Odds: Bannon (-150) vs. Ardelean (+130)
  Bannon, who has a full training camp behind her, is favored over Ardelean, who stepped in on short notice. Guru believes Bannon’s preparation will be the difference maker.

Sam Patterson vs. Keifer Crosbie (05:11)

• Prediction: Sam Patterson
• Odds: Patterson (-220) vs. Crosbie (+180)
  Guru sees Patterson as a far superior fighter with better skills across the board. He expects Patterson to dominate Crosbie, who he views as not UFC caliber.

Prelims

Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Gregory Rodrigues (07:50)

• Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues
• Odds: Rodrigues (-160) vs. Duncan (+140)
  Guru picks Rodrigues for his grappling edge and power. He believes Rodrigues can land big shots and control the fight on the ground.

Oban Elliott vs. Preston Parsons (11:15)

• Prediction: Preston Parsons
• Odds: Parsons (-170) vs. Elliott (+150)
  Parsons is favored for his well-rounded skills and better competition history. Guru expects Parsons to outclass Elliott with his grappling and striking.

Mick Parkin vs. Lukasz Brzeski (13:19)

• Prediction: Mick Parkin
• Odds: Parkin (-200) vs. Brzeski (+170)
  Guru favors Parkin for his leg kicks and grappling. Training with Tom Aspinall has likely improved Parkin’s game, making him the better fighter in this matchup.

Main Card

Caolan Loughran vs. Jake Hadley (15:32)

• Prediction: Caolan Loughran
• Odds: Loughran (-140) vs. Hadley (+120)
  Loughran’s strength and grappling are expected to give him an edge over Hadley, who is stepping up on short notice and fighting outside his usual weight class.

Molly McCann vs. Bruna Brasil (17:34)

• Prediction: Molly McCann
• Odds: McCann (-160) vs. Brasil (+140)
  Guru believes McCann’s toughness and striking power, especially at strawweight, will be too much for Brasil, who tends to struggle under pressure.

Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda (19:03)

• Prediction: Nathaniel Wood
• Odds: Wood (-250) vs. Pineda (+210)
  Wood’s superior striking and overall skill set make him the clear favorite. Guru sees Wood as being levels above Pineda.

Mohammed Mokaev vs. Manel Kape (21:01)

• Prediction: Manel Kape
• Odds: Mokaev (-200) vs. Kape (+170)
  Guru predicts Kape’s striking and takedown defense will be enough to outclass Mokaev. He expects Kape to secure a TKO victory in the second round.

Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadze (24:02)

• Prediction: Arnold Allen
• Odds: Allen (-150) vs. Chikadze (+130)
  Allen’s ability to mix striking and grappling makes him the favorite. Guru believes Allen will control the fight and win by decision.

Bobby Green vs. Paddy Pimblett (26:40)

• Prediction: Paddy Pimblett
• Odds: Green (-200) vs. Pimblett (+170)
  Despite Green’s experience, Guru picks Pimblett for his grappling and size advantage. He predicts Pimblett will win by submission in the first or second round.

Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes 2 (33:18)

• Prediction: Tom Aspinall
• Odds: Aspinall (-180) vs. Blaydes (+160)
  Aspinall’s speed and striking are expected to be too much for Blaydes. Guru predicts Aspinall will win by TKO in the first round.

Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad 2 (36:49)

• Prediction: Leon Edwards
• Odds: Edwards (-200) vs. Muhammad (+170)
  Guru picks Edwards for his superior striking and previous performance against Muhammad. He expects Edwards to win by TKO in the second round.

Guru’s Picks Summary

1. Marcin Prachnio
2. Shaunna Bannon
3. Sam Patterson
4. Gregory Rodrigues
5. Preston Parsons
6. Mick Parkin
7. Caolan Loughran
8. Molly McCann
9. Nathaniel Wood
10. Manel Kape
11. Arnold Allen
12. Paddy Pimblett
13. Tom Aspinall
14. Leon Edwards

Stay tuned for more in-depth analysis and betting tips on the MMA Lock-Cast!