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UFC Denver: Breakdown & Predictions by Manpreet
Welcome to another episode of the MMA Lock-Cast! I’m your host, Manpreet, AKA MMA Lock of the Night. Let’s dive into the breakdowns and predictions for UFC Denver, which promises to be an exciting event with 11 fights on the card.
Montel Jackson vs. Da’Mon Blackshear (5:50)
Montel Jackson comes in at -150. Jackson has shown potential with his striking power, having landed ten knockdowns in his last six fights. Manpreet believes Jackson’s defensive grappling has improved and expects him to dominate in the second and third rounds due to altitude issues for Blackshear, predicting Jackson to win inside the distance.
Prediction: Montel Jackson
Josh Fremd vs. Andre Petroski (9:47)
Both fighters are at -110 in this pick ’em fight. Fremd, a Colorado native, is expected to utilize his grind and pressure approach effectively, especially with the altitude advantage. Manpreet predicts Fremd to win by a third-round finish, exploiting Petroski’s cardio issues.
Prediction: Josh Fremd
Luana Santos vs. Mariya Agapova (14:34)
Luana Santos is favored at -385, while Agapova stands at +320. Despite the odds, Manpreet sees potential for Agapova to cause issues if Santos slows down due to altitude. However, Santos’ grappling should secure her a decision victory.
Prediction: Luana Santos by decision
Joshua Van vs. Charles Johnson (19:32)
Joshua Van is a -210 favorite against Charles Johnson at +180. Van’s striking and ability to handle grappling make him the pick, although the odds are considered a bit wide. Manpreet predicts a close decision win for Van.
Prediction: Joshua Van by decision
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Fatima Kline (24:27)
Jasmine Jasudavicius is at +105 against newcomer Fatima Kline at -125. Despite the short notice, Kline’s undefeated record and superior striking give her the edge. Manpreet expects Kline to win by decision.
Prediction: Fatima Kline by decision
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Cody Brundage (29:53)
Abdul Razak Alhassan is a -145 favorite against Cody Brundage at +125. Manpreet foresees a grinding match favoring Brundage, who is expected to use his wrestling to secure a decision victory.
Prediction: Cody Brundage by decision
Julian Erosa vs. Christian Rodriguez (34:00)
Julian Erosa is at +170 against Christian Rodriguez at -200. Rodriguez’s striking and defensive skills should help him dominate and potentially finish Erosa, who has shown vulnerability to clean shots.
Prediction: Christian Rodriguez by finish
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Ange Loosa (40:08)
Gabriel Bonfim is favored at -400 over Ange Loosa at +300. Despite concerns about altitude, Bonfim’s superior striking and submission skills make him the pick, expected to win by submission.
Prediction: Gabriel Bonfim by submission
Drew Dober vs. Joanderson Brito (44:32)
Drew Dober and Joanderson Brito are both at -110. Manpreet sees Dober’s experience and technical striking, along with altitude training, giving him the edge to finish Brito in the later rounds.
Prediction: Drew Dober by finish
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Muslim Salikhov (50:22)
Santiago Ponzinibbio is a -205 favorite against Muslim Salikhov at +175. Despite concerns about Ponzinibbio’s durability, Manpreet leans towards him for a knockout victory, considering Salikhov’s slowing pace.
Prediction: Santiago Ponzinibbio by knockout
Rose Namajunas vs. Tracy Cortez (53:55)
Rose Namajunas is favored at -230 against Tracy Cortez at +195. Manpreet predicts Namajunas to land better strikes and possibly have grappling success in the later rounds. However, he acknowledges Cortez’s potential to make the fight competitive.
Prediction: Rose Namajunas by decision
Picks Summary
- Montel Jackson
- Josh Fremd
- Luana Santos by decision
- Joshua Van by decision
- Fatima Kline by decision
- Cody Brundage by decision
- Christian Rodriguez by finish
- Gabriel Bonfim by submission
- Drew Dober by finish
- Santiago Ponzinibbio by knockout
- Rose Namajunas by decision
Stay tuned for more UFC content and breakdowns. Enjoy the fights!
