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Welcome to “We Want Picks” with AJ, bringing you full card predictions and betting insights for UFC Louisville: Cannonier vs. Imavov. Below, you’ll find AJ’s thoughts on each fight, including the betting odds where mentioned. Stay tuned for a recap of AJ’s picks at the end!
Fight Card Breakdown
Andrea Lee vs. Montana De La Rosa
Odds: Andrea Lee -120, Montana De La Rosa +100
AJ’s Thoughts: Andrea Lee looks to snap her four-fight losing streak against Montana De La Rosa. AJ believes Lee’s Muay Thai skills and decent ground game will give her an edge. Despite both fighters having unimpressive records, AJ picks Lee to win by decision, expecting her to land effective strikes and potentially control the ground exchanges.
Pick: Andrea Lee
Daniel Marcos vs. John Castaneda
Odds: Daniel Marcos -106, John Castaneda -114
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ picks Daniel Marcos for his technical striking and solid takedown defense. While John Castaneda is gritty and can mix in takedowns, AJ feels Marcos’ movement and striking from the outside will allow him to outpoint Castaneda to a decision victory.
Pick: Daniel Marcos
Charles Radtke vs. Carlos Prates
Odds: Charles Radtke +170, Carlos Prates -200
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ favors Charles Radtke for his grappling and submission threats. Despite Carlos Prates’ Muay Thai skills, AJ thinks Radtke’s ability to control the fight on the ground and potential to secure a submission will be decisive.
Pick: Charles Radtke
Thiago Moisés vs. Ľudovít Klein
Odds: Ľudovít Klein -130, Thiago Moisés +110
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ picks Ľudovít Klein for his striking and takedown defense. Klein’s ability to keep the fight standing and his superior striking make him the favorite. AJ notes Klein’s potential to score a knockout, though a decision win is also likely.
Pick: Ľudovít Klein
Brad Katona vs. Jesse Butler
Odds: Brad Katona -550, Jesse Butler +400
AJ’s Thoughts: Brad Katona is heavily favored due to his well-rounded skills and experience. AJ expects Katona to dominate Jesse Butler, who is dropping down to 135 lbs, and win by unanimous decision.
Pick: Brad Katona
Cody Stamann vs. Taylor Lapilus
Odds: Taylor Lapilus -210, Cody Stamann +180
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ picks Taylor Lapilus for his kickboxing and range management. While Cody Stamann has decent wrestling and boxing, AJ believes Lapilus’ striking and movement will allow him to outpoint Stamann to a decision victory.
Pick: Taylor Lapilus
Puja Tomar vs. Rayanne Amanda
Odds: Rayanne Amanda -220, Puja Tomar +185
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ leans towards Rayanne Amanda for her overall skills and recent performance. Despite Tomar’s aggressive striking, AJ believes Amanda will secure a decision victory, particularly given her grappling advantage.
Pick: Rayanne Amanda
Eduarda Moura vs. Denise Gomes
Odds: Eduarda Moura -155, Denise Gomes +135
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ picks Eduarda Moura for her grappling and ground control. Despite Gomes’ striking power, AJ believes Moura’s ability to take the fight to the ground and potentially secure a submission will be the key to her victory.
Pick: Eduarda Moura
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios
Odds: Raul Rosas Jr. -250, Ricky Turcios +210
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ is confident in Raul Rosas Jr.’s wrestling and grappling. He expects Rosas to control Turcios on the ground and win by decision. AJ acknowledges Rosas’ loss to Christian Rodriguez but sees it as a learning experience.
Pick: Raul Rosas Jr.
Punahele Soriano vs. Miguel Baeza
Odds: Miguel Baeza -170, Punahele Soriano +145
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ favors Miguel Baeza for his technical striking and overall skills. Despite concerns about Baeza’s chin, AJ believes his striking accuracy will lead to a knockout win against the predictable Soriano.
Pick: Miguel Baeza
Brunno Ferreira vs. Dustin Stoltzfus
Odds: Brunno Ferreira -275, Dustin Stoltzfus +220
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ picks Brunno Ferreira for his knockout power and pressure. He expects Ferreira to overwhelm Stoltzfus with strikes and secure a first-round knockout.
Pick: Brunno Ferreira
Julian Marquez vs. Zach Reese
Odds: Julian Marquez -115, Zach Reese -105
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ picks Zach Reese for his athleticism and grappling skills. Despite Marquez’s power, AJ believes Reese’s Jiu-Jitsu will allow him to secure a submission victory.
Pick: Zach Reese
Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby
Odds: Dustin Jacoby -204, Dominick Reyes +174
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ is concerned about Dominick Reyes’ durability and picks Dustin Jacoby for his striking. He expects Jacoby to outpoint Reyes and potentially secure a knockout due to Reyes’ questionable chin.
Pick: Dustin Jacoby
Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov
Odds: Jared Cannonier +117, Nassourdine Imavov -137
AJ’s Thoughts: AJ picks Jared Cannonier for his durability and power. He believes Cannonier will outlast Imavov and win by decision, noting Cannonier’s ability to perform well in later rounds.
Pick: Jared Cannonier
AJ’s Picks Recap:
- Andrea Lee
- Daniel Marcos
- Charles Radtke
- Ľudovít Klein
- Brad Katona
- Taylor Lapilus
- Rayanne Amanda
- Eduarda Moura
- Raul Rosas Jr.
- Miguel Baeza
- Brunno Ferreira
- Zach Reese
- Dustin Jacoby
- Jared Cannonier
Stay tuned for more insights and betting tips. Enjoy the fights and may your bets be successful!
