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UFC Vegas 93: Perez vs. Taira Full Card Breakdown and Predictions
Welcome to DFS by the Numbers! I’m Angelo, and today I’ll break down the entire UFC Vegas 93 fight card, giving you my picks, predictions, and betting insights. This card, held at the Apex, promises a lot of action and some interesting matchups. Let’s dive into each fight.
Early Prelims
Melquizael Costa vs. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Odds: Melquizael Costa -190, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke +165
DFS’s Thoughts: Both fighters are coming off knockout losses to Steve Garcia. Costa has the better striking, but Nuerdanbieke’s wrestling could make this competitive. I see Costa’s striking giving him the edge if he can keep it standing.
Pick: Shayilan Nuerdanbieke by decision
Josefine Knutsson vs. Julia Polastri
Odds: Josefine Knutsson -185, Julia Polastri +160
DFS’s Thoughts: Knutsson is a well-rounded fighter with a strong training background. Polastri, while dangerous on her feet, struggles with takedown defense. Knutsson should control this fight with her grappling.
Pick: Josefine Knutsson by decision
Jeka Saragih vs. Westin Wilson
Odds: Jeka Saragih -335, Westin Wilson +275
DFS’s Thoughts: Wilson’s karate style and lack of durability are concerning. Saragih’s power and well-rounded game make him a strong favorite. This fight shouldn’t be sanctioned, and I expect a quick finish.
Pick: Jeka Saragih by first-round knockout
Gabriella Fernandes vs. Carli Judice
Odds: Gabriella Fernandes -155, Carli Judice +135
DFS’s Thoughts: Judice is relatively inexperienced but has shown power and aggression. Fernandes, despite her 0-2 UFC record, has faced tough competition and should be able to outstrike Judice.
Pick: Gabriella Fernandes by knockout
Main Card
Adam Fugitt vs. Josh Quinlan
Odds: Josh Quinlan -125, Adam Fugitt +125
DFS’s Thoughts: Quinlan’s power and takedown defense should be enough to handle Fugitt, who has shown vulnerability to strikes. Quinlan by knockout seems likely given Fugitt’s defensive lapses.
Pick: Josh Quinlan by first-round knockout
Nate Maness vs. Jimmy Flick
Odds: Nate Maness -500, Jimmy Flick +375
DFS’s Thoughts: Maness is well-rounded and powerful, while Flick has struggled with durability and striking defense. Maness should dominate this fight with his size and ground-and-pound.
Pick: Nate Maness by first-round knockout
Tagir Ulanbekov vs. Joshua Van
Odds: Tagir Ulanbekov -225, Joshua Van +190
DFS’s Thoughts: Ulanbekov’s wrestling and grappling make him the favorite. Van is a promising fighter, but Ulanbekov’s experience and ground game will likely be too much for him.
Pick: Tagir Ulanbekov by first-round submission
Garrett Armfield vs. Brady Hiestand
Odds: Garrett Armfield -180, Brady Hiestand +155
DFS’s Thoughts: Armfield’s striking and improved takedown defense should give him the edge over Hiestand, who has shown vulnerability to strikes. This fight favors Armfield in a striking battle.
Pick: Garrett Armfield by second-round knockout
Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Johnson
Odds: Asu Almabaev -600, Jose Johnson +425
DFS’s Thoughts: Almabaev’s wrestling and grappling will dominate this matchup. Johnson’s poor takedown defense and weight cut make this a tough fight for him.
Pick: Asu Almabaev by second-round submission
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Miles Johns
Odds: Miles Johns -150, Douglas Silva de Andrade +105
DFS’s Thoughts: Johns’ wrestling and explosiveness give him a slight edge, but Silva de Andrade’s experience and durability make this a close fight. I’m leaning towards Silva de Andrade due to his resilience.
Pick: Douglas Silva de Andrade by split decision
Timmy Cuamba vs. Lucas Almeida
Odds: Timmy Cuamba -200, Lucas Almeida +165
DFS’s Thoughts: Cuamba is decent but low volume, whereas Almeida’s aggression and power could give him the edge. This fight is closer than the odds suggest, and Almeida’s striking might prevail.
Pick: Lucas Almeida by decision
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Antonio Trocoli
Odds: Ikram Aliskerov -400, Antonio Trocoli +800
DFS’s Thoughts: Aliskerov’s wrestling and striking make him a heavy favorite. Trocoli, with one win in the last six years, shouldn’t pose much of a threat.
Pick: Ikram Aliskerov by first-round knockout
Tatsuro Taira vs. Alex Perez
Odds: Tatsuro Taira -185, Alex Perez +160
DFS’s Thoughts: Perez has been active and shown improved performances, but Taira’s grappling and undefeated record make him a tough opponent. Taira’s ability to control the fight on the ground will likely lead to a submission victory.
Pick: Tatsuro Taira by second-round submission
DFS’s Picks Recap:
- Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
- Josefine Knutsson
- Jeka Saragih
- Gabriella Fernandes
- Josh Quinlan
- Nate Maness
- Tagir Ulanbekov
- Garrett Armfield
- Asu Almabaev
- Douglas Silva de Andrade
- Lucas Almeida
- Ikram Aliskerov
- Tatsuro Taira
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